Critical Uncertainties

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Develop strategies for operating in a range of plausible yet unpredictable futures

1. Invite participants to make a list of uncertainties they face by asking, “In your/our operating environment, what factors are impossible to predict or control their direction?”
2. Prioritize the most critical factors by asking, “Which factors threaten your/our ability to operate successfully?” 10 min.
3. Based on the group’s history and experience, select the two most critical and most uncertain (X and Y).

• (This is complicated. See the Field Guide entry...)

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• Critical Uncertainties Field Guide Entry